Lecture Notes in Computer Science

Weichselberger, Kurt; Pöhlmann, Sigrid

In this book the consequent use of probability theory is proposed for handling uncertainty in expert systems. It is shown that methods violating this suggestion may have dangerous consequences (e.g., the Dempster-Shafer rule and the method used in MYCIN). The necessity of some requirements for a correct combining of uncertain information in expert systems is demonstrated and suitable rules are provided. The possibility is taken into account that interval estimates are given instead of exact information about probabilities. For combining information containing interval estimates rules are provided which are useful in many cases.

Details

Published by: Springer

Publication Date: 1990-03-07

Format: Paperback

ISBN-13: 9783540523369

DOI: 10.1007/BFb0037513

Dimensions: 279cm x216cm

Pages: 310